The Tenth Inning
 The Tenth Inning Blog
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Will the Phillies' Off-Season Moves Get Them A Playoff Berth?

The Philadelphia Phillies have been one of the more active teams during the off-season, as they seek to improve their chances to win the National League East Division in 2019 and get to the playoffs for the first time since 2011.  However, their division rivals haven’t been sitting idly by either.  The division has been mostly dominated by the Washington Nationals for the past five seasons, although the Atlanta Braves had their break-out year in 2018.  The division is shaping up this season to be one of the more competitive ones in baseball.  The question is: will the Phillies’ off-season transactions be enough to put them over the top?

The Phillies made a run at the division title last year.  From July 6 to August 12, they held first place, and were still only two games back of Atlanta at the end of August.  But then a disastrous September (9-20 record) took them out of contention.  They wound up in third place, ten games behind the division-winning Braves, while the Nationals edged them for second place.

Gabe Kapler, in his first year as Phillies manager last year, was thought to have an unconventional approach to several aspects of the game.  His image suffered from a few early-season managerial gaffes, but by the end of the campaign he was viewed as having turned in a credible performance with a team that wasn’t overly talented.

Over the winter, Phillies owner John Middleton declared he was ready to spend “stupid money” to get the players the Phillies needed.  The statement was thought to be in reference to being willing to outbid other suitors of the top two free agents, Bryce Harper and Manny Machado.  It is believed the Phillies have put lucrative offers on the table to both of these superstars, who have been courted by a number of other teams, including the Yankees, Dodgers, and White Sox.

Aside from their pursuit of the two game-changers, the Phillies added key players in targeted positions where they had weaknesses.  And they didn’t have to spend “stupid money” to get them.

David Robertson’s acquisition added a solid veteran to the bullpen, where they needed more depth.  Andrew McCutchen was signed to a three-year deal after he bounced last season between the Giants and Yankees.  The former MVP still has a lot of gas in the tank.  Jean Segura gives the Phillies a big upgrade at shortstop.  He put together an all-star season for the Mariners las year and is a good candidate for another 200-hit season.  Perhaps the Phillies’ most valuable acquisition was J.T. Realmuto as their new catcher.  Recruited by a number of teams, he is generally thought to be the best overall catcher in baseball.

The New York Mets, led by new GM Brodie Van Wagenam, have been equally active over the winter.  They finished only three games behind the Phillies last year, but needed more offensive help to go along with a good starting rotation headlined by Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom.  They acquired 36-year-old second baseman Robinson Cano, whose addition many analysts questioned because they believe he has passed his peak years.  Wilson Ramos was added to provide long-needed offense from the catcher’s position.

The Mets are counting on free-agent veteran infielder Jed Lowrie, to provide the same kind of performance he did with the upstart Oakland A’s last year.  Slugging outfielder Yoenis Cespedes, whose bat was sorely missed by the Mets when he sat out most of last season due to surgeries on both heels, is uncertain when he will be able to return this year.  The Mets could use his bat back in the lineup.  They bolstered the bullpen by adding Edwin Diaz to go along with Jeurys Familia, whom they re-acquired from Oakland over the winter after trading him at the deadline last year. Diaz led the major leagues in saves last season.

The Braves and Nationals were less active in the free agent market in terms of number of transactions, but both teams made key acquisitions or re-signings.  Atlanta added third baseman Josh Donaldson and Brian McCann (who previously played for the Braves from 2005 to 2013), while bringing back outfielder Nick Markakis.  The Nationals signed the biggest contract for a free-agent pitcher over the winter with Patrick Corbin (six years, $140 million), while also adding second baseman Brian Dozier.  Right after the regular season ended, Harper declined an offer from the Nationals for $300 million over ten years.  If he doesn’t get a better offer elsewhere, it would be a pretty sure bet the Nationals would extend their offer again.  But even without Harper, the Nationals still figure to be a contender for the division title because of their starting pitcher staff.

The Phillies took matters into their own hands over the winter to complement its young team with solid veterans.  Now it’s Kapler task to assimilate the new players into the culture he is building there.  But they’ll have stiff competition within their division.

It’s not certain the Phillies are done yet with all of their deals.  There are reports the Phillies are still in the hunt to get Harper or Machado.  Perhaps the “stupid money” remains to be spent.  And if that happens, the other divisional teams should be really worried.

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